A hybrid evolutionary dynamic neural network for stock market trend analysis and prediction using unscented Kalman filter
نویسندگان
چکیده
Dynamic neural network (DNN) models provide an excellent means for forecasting and prediction of nonstationary time series. A neural network architecture, known as locally recurrent neural network ((LRNN) [71], is preferred to the traditional multilayer perceptron (MLP) because the time varying nature of a stock time series can be better represented using LRNN. The use of LRNN has demonstrated superiority in comparison to the widely used neural networks like the multilayered perceptron (MLP) network, radial basis function (RBF) neural network, and wavelet neural networks (WNN), etc. in predicting highly fluctuating time series databases like electrical load, electricity price, and financial markets.
منابع مشابه
Multi-Step-Ahead Prediction of Stock Price Using a New Architecture of Neural Networks
Modelling and forecasting Stock market is a challenging task for economists and engineers since it has a dynamic structure and nonlinear characteristic. This nonlinearity affects the efficiency of the price characteristics. Using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is a proper way to model this nonlinearity and it has been used successfully in one-step-ahead and multi-step-ahead prediction of di...
متن کاملRotated Unscented Kalman Filter for Two State Nonlinear Systems
In the several past years, Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) and Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) havebecame basic algorithm for state-variables and parameters estimation of discrete nonlinear systems.The UKF has consistently outperformed for estimation. Sometimes least estimation error doesn't yieldwith UKF for the most nonlinear systems. In this paper, we use a new approach for a two variablestate no...
متن کاملDoppler and bearing tracking using fuzzy adaptive unscented Kalman filter
The topic of Doppler and Bearing Tracking (DBT) problem is to achieve a target trajectory using the Doppler and Bearing measurements. The difficulty of DBT problem comes from the nonlinearity terms exposed in the measurement equations. Several techniques were studied to deal with this topic, such as the unscented Kalman filter. Nevertheless, the performance of the filter depends directly on the...
متن کاملForecasting Stock Market Using Wavelet Transforms and Neural Networks and ARIMA (Case study of price index of Tehran Stock Exchange)
The goal of this research is to predict total stock market index of Tehran Stock Exchange, using the compound method of ARIMA and neural network in order for the active participations of finance market as well as macro decision makers to be able to predict trend of the market. First, the series of price index was decomposed by wavelet transform, then the smooth's series predicted by using...
متن کاملForecasting Stock Market Using Wavelet Transforms and Neural Networks: An integrated system based on Fuzzy Genetic algorithm (Case study of price index of Tehran Stock Exchange)
The jamor purpose of the present research is to predict the total stock market index of Tehran Stock Exchange, using a combined method of Wavelet transforms, Fuzzy genetics, and neural network in order to predict the active participations of finance market as well as macro decision makers.To do so, first the prediction was made by neural network, then a series of price index was decomposed by w...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید
ثبت ناماگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید
ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- Appl. Soft Comput.
دوره 19 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2014